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Red80
96744.4
21944.3
101126.4
Blue172
283672.3
161974.6
4535.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9519405015025030080172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
#39
44.41.7
43.041.3
Auto0.0
Teleop44.4
End0.0
blue by 30.1
1619
#12
74.60.7
79.278.5
Auto0.8
Teleop73.8
End0.0
Second
219
#48
44.31.7
42.340.6
Auto0.0
Teleop44.3
End0.0
blue by 28.0
72.30.7
68.467.8
Auto0.1
Teleop72.2
End0.0
Third
1011
#52
26.41.7
29.027.3
Auto0.3
Teleop26.2
End0.0
blue by 9.4
45
#38
35.80.7
37.536.8
Auto1.2
Teleop34.6
End0.0