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Red205
36553.7
52586.5
378749.1
Blue162
147.0
394442.3
245155.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17812950100150200250205162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#3
86.51.4
79.881.2
Auto0.1
Teleop86.4
End0.0
red by 31.0
2451
#18
55.51.0
57.658.6
Auto0.9
Teleop54.5
End0.0
Second
365
#9
53.71.4
52.453.8
Auto1.6
Teleop52.1
End0.0
red by 6.7
1
#40
47.01.0
44.745.7
Auto-0.9
Teleop47.9
End0.0
Third
3787
#15
49.11.4
44.145.6
Auto0.6
Teleop48.5
End0.0
red by 6.8
3944
#30
42.31.0
39.440.4
Auto-2.2
Teleop44.5
End0.0