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Red150
177718.2
394442.3
74453.4
Blue205
154032.4
496147.8
283672.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103142050200250300150205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#22
53.41.8
56.758.5
Auto1.5
Teleop51.9
End0.0
blue by 18.9
72.33.2
67.870.9
Auto0.1
Teleop72.2
End0.0
Second
3944
#30
42.31.8
40.442.3
Auto-2.2
Teleop44.5
End0.0
blue by 5.5
4961
#10
47.83.2
41.244.4
Auto0.0
Teleop47.8
End0.0
Third
1777
#65
18.21.8
16.218.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.3
End0.0
blue by 14.1
1540
#46
32.43.2
32.135.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop32.4
End0.0