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Red69
190220.7
418929.5
402614.9
Blue80
136911.1
395924.5
83215.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70360501001506980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.0
30.230.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 5.0
24.50.7
21.622.3
Auto0.7
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Second
1902
#14
20.70.0
21.421.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.7
End0.0
red by 4.8
832
#29
15.90.7
13.013.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
4026
#19
14.90.0
15.615.6
Auto0.6
Teleop14.3
End0.0
red by 3.7
1369
#30
11.10.7
8.28.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0