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Red77
136911.1
395924.5
83215.9
Blue44
314016.2
146626.9
179513.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4555020801001201401607744

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.50.5
23.423.9
Auto0.7
Teleop23.9
End0.0
blue by 2.4
26.90.2
26.726.5
Auto0.9
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
832
#29
15.90.5
14.715.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 0.4
3140
#12
16.20.2
16.015.8
Auto0.1
Teleop16.1
End0.0
Third
1369
#30
11.10.5
10.010.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 2.1
1795
#25
13.20.2
13.012.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0