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Red23
23937.7
332921.9
168318.0
Blue79
350614.9
174626.0
255616.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465301001502379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.5
22.321.9
Auto0.2
Teleop21.7
End0.0
blue by 4.2
26.00.5
24.925.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
1683
#15
18.00.5
18.418.0
Auto0.7
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 2.0
2556
#21
16.00.5
14.815.3
Auto0.4
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
2393
#38
7.70.5
8.27.7
Auto0.3
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 7.1
3506
#24
14.90.5
13.714.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0