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Red101
164823.4
131929.6
326622.5
Blue62
136911.1
395924.5
83215.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74430206010012014016010162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.5
28.529.0
Auto0.5
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 5.1
24.50.2
23.924.1
Auto0.7
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Second
1648
#11
23.40.5
22.322.9
Auto0.9
Teleop22.5
End0.0
red by 7.6
832
#29
15.90.2
15.315.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Third
3266
#17
22.50.5
21.421.9
Auto0.5
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 11.3
1369
#30
11.10.2
10.510.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0