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Red20
23937.7
332921.9
191212.1
Blue9
395924.5
418929.5
326622.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41420206080209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.91.9
9.87.9
Auto0.2
Teleop21.7
End0.0
blue by 7.6
29.52.4
13.110.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
1912
#33
12.11.9
16.814.9
Auto0.0
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 12.4
24.52.4
11.69.2
Auto0.7
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Third
2393
#38
7.71.9
16.114.2
Auto0.3
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 14.7
3266
#17
22.52.4
18.716.3
Auto0.5
Teleop21.9
End0.0