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Red2
35819.3
533223.5
131117.9
Blue0
494115.2
179513.2
29189.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3933020608010012014016020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.53.1
12.49.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0
red by 8.4
4941
#22
15.22.9
14.311.3
Auto0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Second
1311
#20
17.93.1
17.214.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 4.7
1795
#25
13.22.9
11.28.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
3581
#34
9.33.1
9.76.6
Auto0.2
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 0.6
2918
#27
9.92.9
9.97.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0