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Red0
30916.4
190220.7
573415.8
Blue30
500210.1
168318.0
179513.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2932020406080100120030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#14
20.72.1
13.511.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.7
End0.0
red by 2.7
1683
#15
18.00.2
14.214.0
Auto0.7
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Second
5734
#26
15.82.1
9.07.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.8
End0.0
red by 2.6
1795
#25
13.20.2
11.210.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
3091
#39
6.42.1
8.16.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0
blue by 3.8
5002
#31
10.10.2
7.67.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.1
End0.0