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Red82
42355.7
131929.6
332921.9
Blue64
42409.9
533223.5
208013.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4023060801001201408264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.63.6
22.125.6
Auto0.5
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 6.0
23.53.1
8.411.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Second
21.93.6
8.912.4
Auto0.2
Teleop21.7
End0.0
red by 8.2
2080
#18
13.63.1
10.513.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Third
4235
#37
5.73.6
8.211.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.8
End0.0
blue by 4.1
4240
#28
9.93.1
7.310.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.0
End0.0