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Red32
402614.9
363522.2
41885.4
Blue17
23937.7
33449.9
553613.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343002060801001201403217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.2
9.08.8
Auto0.3
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 8.4
5536
#23
13.81.3
9.68.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Second
4026
#19
14.90.2
15.715.4
Auto0.6
Teleop14.3
End0.0
red by 4.9
3344
#32
9.91.3
10.49.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.0
End0.0
Third
4188
#42
5.40.2
10.09.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.5
End0.0
blue by 2.3
2393
#38
7.71.3
12.010.8
Auto0.3
Teleop7.4
End0.0