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Red27
369414.0
314016.2
326622.5
Blue40
136911.1
350614.9
418929.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32310204060801002740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3266
#17
22.50.5
17.216.7
Auto0.5
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 7.0
29.50.7
10.711.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
3140
#12
16.20.5
8.78.2
Auto0.1
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 1.4
3506
#24
14.90.7
11.812.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
3694
#16
14.00.5
7.16.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.1
End0.0
red by 2.9
1369
#30
11.10.7
9.410.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0