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Red2
83215.9
47305.1
35819.3
Blue1
35163.8
131117.9
23313.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19450608010012014016021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
832
#29
15.91.3
8.87.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 2.1
1311
#20
17.93.4
14.911.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Second
3581
#34
9.31.3
7.46.1
Auto0.2
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 4.2
233
#36
13.43.4
17.213.8
Auto0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
Third
4730
#41
5.11.3
7.66.3
Auto0.0
Teleop5.1
End0.0
red by 1.3
3516
#40
3.83.4
10.26.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.0
End0.0