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Red8
360020.9
23937.7
41885.4
Blue2
30916.4
42355.7
50047.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3423040608010012014082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.91.6
12.811.2
Auto0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 13.8
5004
#35
7.01.9
7.65.6
Auto0.3
Teleop6.7
End0.0
Second
2393
#38
7.71.6
10.89.2
Auto0.3
Teleop7.4
End0.0
red by 1.4
3091
#39
6.41.9
6.04.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0
Third
4188
#42
5.41.6
9.88.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.5
End0.0
blue by 0.3
4235
#37
5.71.9
11.89.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.8
End0.0