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Red30
255616.0
363522.2
164823.4
Blue22
136911.1
494115.2
131929.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275201001503022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#11
23.40.4
12.112.5
Auto0.9
Teleop22.5
End0.0
blue by 6.1
29.62.3
25.623.3
Auto0.5
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Second
22.20.4
8.89.2
Auto0.3
Teleop21.9
End0.0
red by 7.0
4941
#22
15.22.3
14.011.6
Auto0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
2556
#21
16.00.4
10.811.2
Auto0.4
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 4.9
1369
#30
11.12.3
10.17.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0