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Red6
23937.7
314016.2
35163.8
Blue44
146626.9
332921.9
83215.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194306080100120140160644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3140
#12
16.21.5
10.89.3
Auto0.1
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 10.7
26.90.2
20.220.4
Auto0.9
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
2393
#38
7.71.5
9.27.7
Auto0.3
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 14.1
21.90.2
12.612.9
Auto0.2
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Third
3516
#40
3.81.5
3.52.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.0
End0.0
blue by 12.0
832
#29
15.90.2
8.38.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.9
End0.0