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Red28
35163.8
146626.9
33449.9
Blue16
174626.0
350614.9
42409.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293402060801001201401602816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.90.2
11.110.9
Auto0.9
Teleop26.0
End0.0
red by 0.9
26.01.5
13.111.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
3344
#32
9.90.2
9.79.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 4.9
3506
#24
14.91.5
12.511.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
3516
#40
3.80.2
9.99.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.0
End0.0
blue by 6.0
4240
#28
9.91.5
8.87.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.0
End0.0