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Red3
360020.9
553613.8
500210.1
Blue11
47305.1
136911.1
208013.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3031020406080311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.91.8
10.99.1
Auto0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
red by 7.2
2080
#18
13.61.7
11.59.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Second
5536
#23
13.812.3
19.06.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 2.7
1369
#30
11.11.7
10.28.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Third
5002
#31
10.11.8
11.69.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.1
End0.0
red by 5.0
4730
#41
5.11.7
10.28.5
Auto0.0
Teleop5.1
End0.0