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Red29
131929.6
30916.4
255616.0
Blue13
402614.9
510917.0
369414.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41320501001502913

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.0
21.220.2
Auto0.5
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 12.6
5109
#13
17.01.8
10.48.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
2556
#21
16.01.0
10.69.6
Auto0.4
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 1.1
4026
#19
14.91.8
15.513.7
Auto0.6
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Third
3091
#39
6.41.0
9.28.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0
blue by 7.7
3694
#16
14.01.8
8.46.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.1
End0.0