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Red52
23937.7
326622.5
131117.9
Blue71
174626.0
190220.7
164823.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions316102040801001201401605271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3266
#17
22.51.0
17.818.8
Auto0.5
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 3.6
26.00.8
22.122.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
Second
1311
#20
17.91.0
13.814.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 5.5
1648
#11
23.40.8
17.118.0
Auto0.9
Teleop22.5
End0.0
Third
2393
#38
7.71.0
5.16.1
Auto0.3
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 13.0
1902
#14
20.70.8
19.019.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.7
End0.0