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Red68
47305.1
418929.5
23313.4
Blue68
131929.6
29189.9
100219.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375002060801001201401606868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.51.9
25.727.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.6
End0.0
blue by 0.1
29.61.2
24.225.5
Auto0.5
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Second
233
#36
13.41.9
9.411.3
Auto0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 6.2
1002
#10
19.61.2
17.719.0
Auto0.0
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
4730
#41
5.11.9
4.86.6
Auto0.0
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 4.8
2918
#27
9.91.2
7.38.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0