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Red98
314016.2
510917.0
533223.5
Blue82
360020.9
42409.9
363522.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443402060801001201409882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.53.6
17.521.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0
red by 1.3
22.23.0
17.420.4
Auto0.3
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Second
5109
#13
17.03.6
15.419.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 3.9
20.93.0
15.718.7
Auto0.1
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Third
3140
#12
16.23.6
11.415.0
Auto0.1
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 6.4
4240
#28
9.93.0
3.86.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.0
End0.0