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Red79
191212.1
23313.4
174626.0
Blue90
369414.0
533223.5
363522.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415301001507990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.02.1
22.925.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.1
End0.0
red by 2.5
23.52.2
21.123.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Second
233
#36
13.42.1
11.313.4
Auto0.1
Teleop13.4
End0.0
blue by 8.8
22.22.2
20.422.7
Auto0.3
Teleop21.9
End0.0
Third
1912
#33
12.12.1
9.912.1
Auto0.0
Teleop12.0
End0.0
blue by 1.9
3694
#16
14.02.2
11.814.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.1
End0.0