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Red80
208013.6
332921.9
500210.1
Blue70
255616.0
23937.7
573415.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383002060801001208070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.92.5
20.022.5
Auto0.2
Teleop21.7
End0.0
red by 5.9
2556
#21
16.02.3
12.715.0
Auto0.4
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Second
2080
#18
13.62.5
10.913.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
blue by 2.1
5734
#26
15.82.3
13.515.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
5002
#31
10.12.5
7.610.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.1
End0.0
red by 2.4
2393
#38
7.72.3
6.18.4
Auto0.3
Teleop7.4
End0.0