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Red62
283228.4
550943.8
525717.8
Blue97
515616.6
353826.7
546044.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8784506070801001101201306297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
Unranked
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto0.3
Teleop43.5
End0.0
blue by 0.7
5460
Unranked
44.50.0
44.544.5
Auto0.3
Teleop44.2
End0.0
Second
2832
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0
red by 1.7
3538
Unranked
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Third
5257
Unranked
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 1.2
5156
Unranked
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.6
End0.0