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Red95
550943.8
283228.4
525717.8
Blue98
3538B13.3
377035.5
516620.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91620501502009598

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
Unranked
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto0.3
Teleop43.5
End0.0
red by 8.4
3770
Unranked
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.5
End0.0
Second
2832
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0
red by 8.4
5166
Unranked
20.00.0
20.020.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Third
5257
Unranked
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 4.5
3538B
Unranked
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0