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Red55
519315.8
481922.3
70329.9
Blue30
560344.1
46810.1
522422.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64760501001502002505530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
703
Unranked
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
blue by 14.2
5603
Unranked
44.10.0
44.144.1
Auto1.2
Teleop42.9
End0.0
Second
4819
Unranked
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 0.1
5224
Unranked
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto0.6
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Third
5193
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto0.3
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 5.7
468
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0