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Red57
515020.8
520322.4
542412.3
Blue119
3538B13.3
377035.5
516620.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5169010015020025057119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5203
Unranked
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto0.4
Teleop22.0
End0.0
blue by 13.1
3770
Unranked
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.5
End0.0
Second
5150
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0
red by 0.8
5166
Unranked
20.00.0
20.020.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Third
5424
Unranked
12.30.0
12.312.3
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 1.0
3538B
Unranked
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0