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Red126
283228.4
550943.8
525717.8
Blue89
542412.3
515020.8
520322.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9446015020012689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
Unranked
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto0.3
Teleop43.5
End0.0
red by 21.5
5203
Unranked
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto0.4
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Second
2832
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0
red by 7.6
5150
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Third
5257
Unranked
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 5.5
5424
Unranked
12.30.0
12.312.3
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0