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Red129
550943.8
283228.4
525717.8
Blue98
523113.0
261948.6
522926.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8785608010012012998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
Unranked
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto0.3
Teleop43.5
End0.0
blue by 4.7
2619
Unranked
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto1.6
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Second
2832
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0
red by 1.7
5229
Unranked
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
5257
Unranked
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 4.9
5231
Unranked
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0