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Red100
3538B13.3
542412.3
261948.6
Blue104
520322.4
550943.8
560344.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64114050100150200250100104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
Unranked
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto1.6
Teleop47.0
End0.0
red by 4.5
5603
Unranked
44.10.0
44.144.1
Auto1.2
Teleop42.9
End0.0
Second
3538B
Unranked
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 30.5
5509
Unranked
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto0.3
Teleop43.5
End0.0
Third
5424
Unranked
12.30.0
12.312.3
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 10.0
5203
Unranked
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto0.4
Teleop22.0
End0.0