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Red86
515020.8
353826.7
519315.8
Blue86
522422.2
46810.1
377035.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions606601002003004005008686

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
Unranked
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0
blue by 8.8
3770
Unranked
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.5
End0.0
Second
5150
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 1.4
5224
Unranked
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto0.6
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Third
5193
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto0.3
Teleop15.4
End0.0
red by 5.7
468
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0