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Red48
546044.5
523113.0
560344.1
Blue112
520322.4
261948.6
70329.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9897506070809011048112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
Unranked
44.50.0
44.544.5
Auto0.3
Teleop44.2
End0.0
blue by 4.0
2619
Unranked
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto1.6
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Second
5603
Unranked
44.10.0
44.144.1
Auto1.2
Teleop42.9
End0.0
red by 14.2
703
Unranked
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Third
5231
Unranked
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 9.4
5203
Unranked
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto0.4
Teleop22.0
End0.0