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Red68
377035.5
353826.7
3538B13.3
Blue44
520322.4
542412.3
481922.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775101001506844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
Unranked
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.5
End0.0
red by 13.1
5203
Unranked
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto0.4
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Second
3538
Unranked
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0
red by 4.4
4819
Unranked
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Third
3538B
Unranked
13.30.0
13.313.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 1.0
5424
Unranked
12.30.0
12.312.3
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0