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Red76
522422.2
560344.1
522926.7
Blue8
515020.8
70329.9
523113.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96550150768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5603
Unranked
44.10.0
44.144.1
Auto1.2
Teleop42.9
End0.0
red by 14.2
703
Unranked
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Second
5229
Unranked
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 5.9
5150
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0
Third
5224
Unranked
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto0.6
Teleop21.6
End0.0
red by 9.2
5231
Unranked
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0