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Red58
516620.0
481922.3
353826.7
Blue112
515616.6
550943.8
546044.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59109015020025058112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
Unranked
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0
blue by 17.8
5460
Unranked
44.50.0
44.544.5
Auto0.3
Teleop44.2
End0.0
Second
4819
Unranked
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
blue by 21.6
5509
Unranked
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto0.3
Teleop43.5
End0.0
Third
5166
Unranked
20.00.0
20.020.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0
red by 3.4
5156
Unranked
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.6
End0.0