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Red100
525717.8
46810.1
261948.6
Blue107
283228.4
519315.8
377035.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76754060100120100107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2619
Unranked
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto1.6
Teleop47.0
End0.0
red by 13.1
3770
Unranked
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.5
End0.0
Second
5257
Unranked
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 10.6
2832
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0
Third
468
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 5.7
5193
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto0.3
Teleop15.4
End0.0