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Red71
546044.5
542412.3
515020.8
Blue22
522926.7
550943.8
353826.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71980501502002507122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
Unranked
44.50.0
44.544.5
Auto0.3
Teleop44.2
End0.0
red by 0.7
5509
Unranked
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto0.3
Teleop43.5
End0.0
Second
5150
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0
blue by 5.9
5229
Unranked
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
5424
Unranked
12.30.0
12.312.3
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 14.4
3538
Unranked
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0