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Red106
516620.0
519315.8
520322.4
Blue72
377035.5
515616.6
70329.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5184010015020010672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5203
Unranked
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto0.4
Teleop22.0
End0.0
blue by 13.1
3770
Unranked
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.5
End0.0
Second
5166
Unranked
20.00.0
20.020.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.1
End0.0
blue by 9.8
703
Unranked
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Third
5193
Unranked
15.80.0
15.815.8
Auto0.3
Teleop15.4
End0.0
blue by 0.8
5156
Unranked
16.60.0
16.616.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.6
End0.0