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Red98
46810.1
283228.4
522926.7
Blue72
542412.3
353826.7
560344.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions598401001502009872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
Unranked
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto0.4
Teleop28.0
End0.0
blue by 15.7
5603
Unranked
44.10.0
44.144.1
Auto1.2
Teleop42.9
End0.0
Second
5229
Unranked
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Level
3538
Unranked
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Third
468
Unranked
10.10.0
10.110.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.4
End0.0
blue by 2.2
5424
Unranked
12.30.0
12.312.3
Auto1.0
Teleop11.3
End0.0