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Red11
550943.8
70329.9
522422.2
Blue74
515020.8
481922.3
261948.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9387204060801001201401601174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5509
Unranked
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto0.3
Teleop43.5
End0.0
blue by 4.7
2619
Unranked
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto1.6
Teleop47.0
End0.0
Second
703
Unranked
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
red by 7.6
4819
Unranked
22.30.0
22.322.3
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Third
5224
Unranked
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto0.6
Teleop21.6
End0.0
red by 1.4
5150
Unranked
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto0.3
Teleop20.5
End0.0