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Qual 162015 Hawaii Regional
Red20
562517.6
244413.9
388117.6
Blue36
234826.7
38789.9
574926.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333101020405060702036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3881
#25
17.60.0
16.4→16.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 9.0
2348
#19
26.70.2
11.9→12.2
Auto0.7
Teleop26.0
End0.0
Second
5625
#26
17.60.1
9.4→9.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 8.7
5749
#15
26.30.2
12.3→12.5
Auto0.5
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Third
2444
#28
13.90.1
7.2→7.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop14.6
End0.0
red by 4.0
3878
#35
9.90.2
9.1→9.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop10.4
End0.0