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Qual 172015 Hawaii Regional
Red49
393336.7
137816.4
243727.4
Blue123
245913.8
244345.8
1142.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5373010015020025049123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3933
#6
36.70.4
21.5→21.1
Auto0.7
Teleop36.0
End0.0
blue by 9.1
2443
#5
45.82.8
32.5→35.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.9
End0.0
Second
2437
#18
27.40.4
23.5→23.0
Auto0.1
Teleop27.3
End0.0
blue by 14.8
11
#7
42.22.5
32.3→34.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Third
1378
#27
16.40.7
12.8→12.1
Auto1.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 2.7
2459
#32
13.84.2
7.5→11.7
Auto0.7
Teleop13.1
End0.0