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Red65
300826.9
372123.1
285328.9
Blue9
19722.7
244413.9
209030.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4138102030506070659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2853
#17
28.91.9
13.415.3
Auto0.7
Teleop28.2
End0.0
blue by 1.2
2090
#16
30.11.1
24.723.5
Auto0.6
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Second
3008
#12
26.91.1
17.418.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.4
End0.0
red by 13.1
2444
#28
13.91.1
7.16.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
3721
#23
23.11.9
11.613.5
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 20.4
1972
#36
2.71.1
8.57.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop3.1
End0.0