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Red55
388117.6
243831.8
245913.8
Blue80
243727.4
388019.9
36854.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426901001502005580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#11
31.80.6
19.620.2
Auto0.8
Teleop30.9
End0.0
blue by 22.2
368
#3
54.01.1
32.733.8
Auto4.2
Teleop49.7
End0.0
Second
3881
#25
17.60.4
16.316.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 9.8
2437
#18
27.40.7
23.023.7
Auto0.1
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Third
2459
#32
13.80.6
11.712.3
Auto0.7
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 6.1
3880
#30
19.91.1
11.212.3
Auto0.8
Teleop19.1
End0.0