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Red79
234826.7
388232.5
244413.9
Blue70
388019.9
209030.1
477422.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426001001502007970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#14
32.51.6
24.826.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop32.9
End0.0
red by 2.4
2090
#16
30.10.9
23.524.4
Auto0.6
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Second
2348
#19
26.72.7
15.818.5
Auto0.7
Teleop26.0
End0.0
red by 4.7
4774
#22
22.00.5
23.524.0
Auto0.4
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Third
2444
#28
13.92.7
6.08.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 6.0
3880
#30
19.90.9
12.313.2
Auto0.8
Teleop19.1
End0.0