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Red78
245913.8
36854.0
562517.6
Blue83
415844.6
289610.1
285328.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555440506070807883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#3
54.01.8
33.835.5
Auto4.2
Teleop49.7
End0.0
red by 9.4
44.61.4
32.033.3
Auto1.1
Teleop43.5
End0.0
Second
5625
#26
17.61.8
10.712.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 11.3
2853
#17
28.92.3
15.317.6
Auto0.7
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Third
2459
#32
13.81.8
12.314.1
Auto0.7
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 3.6
2896
#31
10.12.3
8.710.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.5
End0.0