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Qual 292015 Hawaii Regional
Red92
425341.3
300826.9
137816.4
Blue42
574926.3
243831.8
530713.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6744020801001201409242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4253
#8
41.31.3
32.2→33.5
Auto0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 9.5
2438
#11
31.80.1
20.2→20.1
Auto0.8
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Second
3008
#12
26.91.3
18.5→19.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.4
End0.0
red by 0.6
5749
#15
26.30.1
15.2→15.1
Auto0.5
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Third
1378
#27
16.42.2
14.7→17.0
Auto1.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 3.0
5307
#34
13.40.1
13.8→13.7
Auto0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0