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Red70
244519.5
243727.4
250422.8
Blue121
393336.7
61043.7
35961.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40122010015020025070121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2437
#18
27.40.8
23.724.5
Auto0.1
Teleop27.3
End0.0
blue by 33.7
359
#1
61.10.3
52.052.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop61.9
End0.0
Second
2504
#20
22.81.3
17.919.1
Auto1.0
Teleop21.8
End0.0
blue by 20.9
610
#10
43.70.3
37.838.1
Auto0.5
Teleop43.2
End0.0
Third
2445
#24
19.51.3
13.114.4
Auto0.7
Teleop18.8
End0.0
blue by 17.1
36.70.3
24.224.5
Auto0.7
Teleop36.0
End0.0